StatSheet Projects Tennessee State as CIT Team: 03/15/2013

Filed under StatSeed Update on March 15th, 2013
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet projects Tennessee State to get to the CIT. The Tigers are ranked #96 in the StatSheet StatRank with an 18-13 overall record and an 11-5 record in the Ohio Valley.

Over the last four games, Tennessee State registered wins against Morehead State and Eastern Kentucky but also dropped one against RPI #21 Belmont and a bad loss to RPI #176 Morehead State.

Tennessee State is weak against top competition, with a 2-8 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 1-4 record against the RPI Top 50 and no record against AP ranked teams. While the Tigers have a single quality win against RPI #21 Belmont, they're also dinged by six bad losses including RPI #176 Morehead State (2 losses), RPI #104 Loyola (MD), RPI #120 Murray State, RPI #279 Monmouth, and RPI #212 Georgia State.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Baylor (18-14, 9-9 Big 12, StatRank #61), Boise State (21-10, 9-7 Mountain West, StatRank #41), Southern Miss (24-8, 12-4 Conference USA, StatRank #35), and Alabama (20-11, 12-6 SEC, StatRank #60).

The first four teams out are Colorado (21-11, 10-8 Pac-12, StatRank #47), Iowa (21-11, 9-9 Big Ten, StatRank #74), Virginia (21-10, 11-7 ACC, StatRank #62), and Wichita State (26-8, 12-6 Missouri Valley, StatRank #33).

The next four out are Florida State (18-14, 9-9 ACC, StatRank #78), LSU (19-11, 9-9 SEC, StatRank #82), Maryland (21-11, 8-10 ACC, StatRank #79), and Oregon (24-8, 12-6 Pac-12, StatRank #49).

Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Georgetown
#3Florida
#4Kansas State
#5Colorado State
#6Arizona
#7Butler
#8Belmont
#9Creighton
#10Cincinnati
#11MTSU
#12Alabama
#13Akron
#14Davidson
#15FGCU
#16Iona
#17Liberty
Regional 2
#1Gonzaga
#2Kansas
#3Marquette
#4New Mexico
#5North Carolina
#6Missouri
#7Memphis
#8Illinois
#9Oklahoma
#10Iowa State
#11Temple
#12La Salle
#13Baylor
#14New Mexico State
#15Harvard
#16Long Beach State
#17Long Island
Regional 3
#1Indiana
#2Michigan
#3Miami (FL)
#4Oklahoma State
#5Notre Dame
#6Saint Louis
#7Minnesota
#8UNLV
#9San Diego State
#10Kentucky
#11Tennessee
#12Ole Miss
#13Boise State
#14SDSU
#15Montana
#16Vermont
#17Morgan State
Regional 4
#1Louisville
#2Michigan State
#3Ohio State
#4Syracuse
#5Pittsburgh
#6Wisconsin
#7NC State
#8UCLA
#9VCU
#10Saint Mary's
#11Villanova
#12Southern Miss
#13Bucknell
#14Valparaiso
#15Stephen F. Austin
#16Western Kentucky
#17Texas Southern

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East8 1650.0%
Big Ten7 1258.3%
SEC6 1250.0%
Big 126 1060.0%
A-105 1435.7%
Mountain West5 862.5%
ACC4 1233.3%
Pac-122 1216.7%
Sun Belt2 1216.7%
West Coast2 922.2%
Conference USA2 1216.7%
MAC1 128.3%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Missouri Valley1 1010.0%
Ivy League1 812.5%
SoCon1 128.3%
MAAC1 1010.0%
Big South1 119.1%
Big West1 911.1%
NEC1 128.3%
Patriot1 812.5%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
Big Sky1 911.1%
MEAC1 137.7%
WAC1 812.5%
Summit League1 1010.0%
Southland1 128.3%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Horizon1 1010.0%
America East1 911.1%

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Season Preview: TSU should not be significantly better or worse than last year. Read our Season Preview
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Ohio Valley Standings

OverallConf
1 Belmont 26-10 14-2
2 Murray State 23-11 13-3
3 EKU 24-10 11-5
4 Morehead State 20-14 10-6
5 Tennessee Tech 17-16 9-7
6 SE 18-14 8-8
7 EIU 11-19 7-9
7 SIUE 11-20 7-9
9 Austin Peay 12-18 6-10
10 JSU 10-21 4-12
 10Tennessee State 5-25 4-12
12 UTM 8-23 3-13
Last updated: Apr 10th, 2014

2013-2014 Roster

#11 Alex Bates So F 6-8 235
#40 Kennedy Eubanks Jr G/F 6-6 185
#23 Jordan Gaither Fr G 6-3 170
#1 Jamonte Graham Fr G 6-1 200
#44 Michael Green Sr F 6-9 195
#5 Jay Harris Jr G 5-10 170
#10 Cameron Johnson So G 6-0 175
#2 Patrick Miller Jr G 6-1 189
#12 Ugo Mmonu Fr F 6-7 205
#0 Jacquan Nobles Sr G 6-3 180
#3 Jaleel Queary Jr G 6-2 200
#34 Jaylen Reid Fr G/F 6-7 175
#4 M.J. Rhett Jr F 6-9 235
#21 Rhyan Townes Fr G 6-5 192
#32 Chaed Wellian Sr F 6-8 190
#30 Gerald Williams So G 6-2 175